Estimation & Calibration

The Breathalyzer Problem

Intermediate · Multiple choiceSample

A roadside breathalyzer flags drunk drivers. One driver in 1,000 on this road is actually over the limit. The device never misses a drunk driver, but it falsely flags 5% of sober drivers.

An officer stops a random driver and the device flags them. What is the probability the driver is actually over the limit?